When is the earliest Norris can win the World Championship?

Lando Norris leads the 2025 Drivers' Championship with a 24-point advantage over McLaren teammate Oscar Piastri, with Max Verstappen a further 25 points behind. As the season heads into its final three rounds, all three drivers remain mathematically in contention for the title. However, the earliest Norris can secure his maiden World Championship is not in Las Vegas, but during the Qatar Sprint. Despite his commanding victories in Mexico and Sao Paulo, which significantly boosted his lead, the complex points permutations mean Norris would need specific results in the Las Vegas Grand Prix to even have a chance to clinch the title in Qatar. Should he outscore Piastri by just two points in the Qatar Sprint, he could be crowned champion.