Where Hamilton has the best chance of winning in 2026

F1 data analysts have evaluated the tracks most likely to see Lewis Hamilton secure his first victory for Ferrari in 2026. By combining Hamilton's historic win percentages at various circuits with Ferrari's current performance gap to Mercedes, the study highlights the Hungaroring as the most promising venue, followed by Barcelona-Catalunya, Monaco, and Singapore. Conversely, the data suggests significant challenges for the team at high-power-sensitivity circuits like Spa-Francorchamps and Monza, which rank at the bottom of the probability list. With upcoming races in Monaco and Barcelona offering favorable statistical conditions, fans and analysts alike are closely watching to see if the seven-time champion can return to the top step of the podium.